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Dimension 01

Statecraft Intensity

Exactly how exposed this country is to sanctions and export-control pressure — and how seriously.

Pressure faced

United States

18/100
Low↑ +3 ·mod (7d)

United States sits at 18 of 100 on sanctions and export-control pressure it faces low — ranking 117 of 192 countries we track. The heaviest single driver is ofac designations at 12/100. No meaningful extraterritorial liability for third parties transacting with United States today.

Risk faced — the pressure this country is under. Free view: today’s values, last 14 days of events, full methodology. History, outbound posture and entity-level matching are Pro.
Secondary sanctions exposure
Liability created for third parties, not for United States
Modelled
4/100Minimal

No meaningful extraterritorial liability for third parties transacting with United States today.

Modelled from programme design and enforcement precedent — not an official count. Treat as directional.
OFAC designationsHigh confidence
12/1002,847 SDN entries

How many people, companies and vessels tied to this country sit on the US Treasury's SDN list. Anyone on it is off-limits to US persons and to most dollar-clearing banks.

US Treasury OFAC SDN list · daily · 35% of the score
BIS export controlsHigh confidence
8/100312 listed entities

Presence on the Commerce Department's Entity, Denied Persons and Unverified lists. These bite on technology and components rather than money, so they hit different sectors than OFAC.

US BIS Entity / DPL / UVL · daily · 25% of the score
Sectoral breadthMedium confidence
6/1008% of GDP in covered sectors

How much of the economy is covered, not just how many names. A narrow defence-only regime is a very different risk from one reaching energy, finance and shipping.

Programme texts, sector-coded · weekly · 22% of the score
Multi-regime alignmentModelled
3/1000.12 Jaccard, US/EU/UK/UN

How closely the US, EU, UK and UN target the same names (Jaccard similarity). Coordinated pressure is far harder to route around than a unilateral programme.

Cross-regime list matching · modelled · 8% of the score
Designation trajectory
United States · OFAC count and rate of change
PRO
Listed today2,847
Rate of change+3%over the last 12 months
2766.52835.22903.9AprMayJunJul

Free shows the last four months. The rate of change, not the level, is the leading tell: an accelerating count usually precedes sectoral broadening.

Pro adds the full 12-month path, per-programme breakdown and history back to 2019.
Multi-regime alignment
How closely US, EU, UK and UN target the same names
PRO
US ∩ EU
0.03
US ∩ UK
0.03
EU ∩ UK
0.03
US ∩ UN
0.02

Coordinated pressure is much harder to route around than a unilateral programme. A high overlap means re-domiciling a trade into Europe or the UK buys you very little.

Pro adds live Jaccard scoring per programme and divergence alerts when one regime moves alone.
Statecraft events
United States · last 14 days
01 Aprhigh
BIS final rule: 23 Chinese semiconductor firms added to Entity List
Full archive with source links & new-designation alertsPRO
Statecraft pressure worldwide
192 countries scored · read-only
CountryScore
Iran100
Syria100
North Korea100
Cuba100
Venezuela100
Russia98
Yemen90
Sudan86
Save a ranked watchlist that persists across visitsPRO
Outbound posture
Pressure United States applies to others
PRO
Outbound desig.
85
Enforcement
78
Coercion index
62
WTO disputes
44
Coordination
72

Who a country pressures tells you where the next retaliation lands. Switch to Power used for the full free breakdown.

Pro opens the full posture model: designations issued, enforcement rate, CSIS coercion incidents and WTO disputes.
Which of my counterparties are newly exposed
Entity- and sector-level, below the country score
PRO

The public page scores United States. Pro turns an entity-list addition into “this affects your Q3 supplier in Shenzhen” — name, sector, contract and the licence position you need.

  • Sector decomposition beneath the country score
  • Counterparty matching against OFAC/BIS additions, daily
  • Ownership look-through for the 50% rule
  • Threshold alerts on new designations for watched countries and sectors
Pro matches new designations against your supplier, customer and financing lists and tells you which contracts are affected.
What goes into the statecraft score
Every input, weight, source and confidence level — published in full
OFAC

How many people, companies and vessels tied to this country sit on the US Treasury's SDN list. Anyone on it is off-limits to US persons and to most dollar-clearing banks.

  • Weight35%
  • Today12
  • ConfidenceHigh
US Treasury OFAC SDN list · daily
BIS

Presence on the Commerce Department's Entity, Denied Persons and Unverified lists. These bite on technology and components rather than money, so they hit different sectors than OFAC.

  • Weight25%
  • Today8
  • ConfidenceHigh
US BIS Entity / DPL / UVL · daily
Sectoral

How much of the economy is covered, not just how many names. A narrow defence-only regime is a very different risk from one reaching energy, finance and shipping.

  • Weight22%
  • Today6
  • ConfidenceMedium
Programme texts, sector-coded · weekly
Secondary

The risk that a non-US company gets penalised simply for doing business with this country. This is the number that decides whether your own bank, insurer or customer will touch the trade.

  • Weight10%
  • Today4
  • ConfidenceIllustrative
Programme design + enforcement precedent · modelled
Overlap

How closely the US, EU, UK and UN target the same names (Jaccard similarity). Coordinated pressure is far harder to route around than a unilateral programme.

  • Weight8%
  • Today3
  • ConfidenceIllustrative
Cross-regime list matching · modelled

Score = 0.35·OFAC + 0.25·BIS + 0.22·Sectoral + 0.10·Secondary + 0.08·Overlap, each input normalised 0–100. OFAC and BIS come off live official feeds; secondary exposure and regime overlap are modelled and shown as illustrative.

You can see the pressure. Pro tells you who it lands on.

Twelve-month designation history, outbound posture, counterparty matching and alerting the moment a new name is listed.